Week 11 College Football Picks

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Ahh, we’re in it now, guys. November is when stuff gets real, and I’ve chosen all games that carry significant conference/divisional implications. Also, between the NCAA and the NFL, the next night that won’t have some form of football game on will be Wednesday November 23. We are truly #blessed.

Baylor at #11 Oklahoma (-16)

The Big 12 might just have a glimmer of postseason life after all, as the Sooners cracked the top ten again this week after being unranked the first week of October. Baker Mayfield’s 194.8 passer efficiency rating currently tops Russell Wilson’s 2011 NCAA record. The Sooners will also regain the services of Joe Mixon and Samaje Perine, who can punish the Bears’ 78th-ranked Rushing S&P+ defense. Oklahoma 52, Baylor 31

Also, Baylor: holy crap. Get it together.

South Carolina at Florida (-11)

Will Muschamp visits his former team. Neither team can score and Florida is in its annual November swoon. Muschamp gets his revenge in an ugly penalty- and punt-filled game which further muddies the SEC East waters. South Carolina 12, Florida 10

#9 Auburn at Georgia (+10)

Don’t look now, but Auburn controls its own destiny in the SEC West. All they have to do is beat Alabama, no sweat. But first a stingy Georgia tea-hahahaha sorry, I thought I could get through that. Auburn 38, Georgia 16

Tulsa at Navy (-3)

The nation’s fastest offense meets one its slowest in this de-facto AAC West title game. (I can’t wait to see the disparity in time of possession for this one.) Navy has become masters of moving the chains even against the stoutest of defenses but will probably need to get more explosive to keep up with Tulsa, who are scoring tons of points. While the Golden Hurricane are allowing a lot of big plays, I’m not sure the Mids have the firepower to keep up in this one. Tulsa 34, Navy 24

Appalachian State at Troy (PK)

These two plus Arkansas State currently sit tied for first in the conference, making this a Sun Belt semifinal. Appalachian State will play defense and run at you on first, second, and third down. Troy is a bit more balanced and has the better quarterback in Brandon Silvers. I think the Mountaineers can get the Trojans off the field on third downs and keep them off with their run game, I like them on the road. Appalachian State 28, Troy 20

Minnesota at #19 Nebraska (-7)

Minnesota always manages to creep into the back half of the season, totally alive in the Big Ten West, and completely under the radar. Nebraska has to bounce back from the second-worst defeat in program history, but the return of lineman Jerald Foster should bolster a struggling line. With or without Tommy Armstrong I think the Blackshirts, solid all season until last week, turn around with an impressive outing. Nebraska 24, Minnesota 13

#20 USC at #4 Washington (-8.5)

Everyone wrote off USC after they opened the season 1-3, but they bounced back to won five straight by an average score of 40-19. Sam Darnold has been deadly effective, but so too has Husky signal caller Jake Browning. Remember earlier how Mayfield is currently ahead of Wilson’s passing efficiency record? Well, Browning’s rating is ahead of Mayfield’s. The Huskies outlast the Trojans. Washington 41, USC 29

#3 Michigan at Iowa (+21.5)

Michigan is a juggernaut committing unspeakable atrocities against every team that has the misfortune of crossing its path. Iowa . . . is good at making games in Iowa City an absolute slog? Maybe? I tried. Michigan 49, Iowa 7

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