Projecting the Denver Nuggets Season After 30 Games

Derek Hernandez December 27, 2012 0
 Projecting the Denver Nuggets Season After 30 Games

The road-heavy schedule has worn down the Nuggets so far.

The Denver Nuggets’ road woes this season have been well-documented, but after Wednesday night’s convincing win over the supposedly “back” Lakers there’s some optimism in the Mile High City. Not only because they finally knocked down some outside shots and they recovered from Christmas night’s drubbing at the hands of the Clippers, but because their road-heavy schedule should swing towards more home cooking.

Currently the Nuggets, 16-14 through 30 games, sit as the 7th seed in the Western Conference. If you take a deeper look into the schedule however, Denver is actually in a position to make a sizable run during the back-half of the regular season.

The Nuggets are 7-13 on the road but are a sizzling 9-1 at the Pepsi Center.  They’ve played the most road games in the NBA and all the teams ahead of them in the West standings only average 13 road games played to this point. With 31 home games left and having already played almost half of their road schedule Nuggets fans can expect a jump in the standings in the coming months.

If you project Denver’s wins and losses using their current winning percentages at home and the road it would look something like this:

Games left: 52

Road games remaining: 21

Current road winning %: 35%

Projected road wins: 7

Home games remaining: 31

Current home winning %: 90%

Projected home wins: 28

TOTAL PROJECTED WINS/LOSSES = 51-31

Based on how the standings ended up during the last 82-game regular season, the Nuggets would more than likely finish as the 5th-seed in the West. Considering most experts had the Oklahoma City Thunder, San Antonio Spurs and Los Angeles Lakers penciled in as the top three seeds in the West before the season started and the group of the Clippers, Grizzlies and Nuggets all fighting for the middle seeds I think most Denver fans would take the five seed in a heartbeat. Let’s just hope George Karl’s bunch can continue rolling in the 5280.

 

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