DraftKings NFL Values: Week 8

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Jay Cutler
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Below I will highlight a few guys that I perceive will provide value for their price on DraftKings for Week 8 in the NFL.

Quarterback:

Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers ($6,500): Rivers is a great quarterback option in DFS this week. He is the 9th highest priced quarterback despite having the second most fantasy points per game. In his last 4 games, Rivers is averaging 28.85 fantasy points per game. The Chargers have struggled running the football and have allowed Rivers to lead the league in passing yards a game at 350 yards. Rivers should put up even better numbers against the poor Ravens team that has allowed the most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season. Take advantage of Rivers being the 9th most expensive quarterback this week.

Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears ($5,200): If you want to go cheaper at QB this week, Cutler is the play against the Vikings. He is simply too cheap to pass up with his potential. In his last 3 games, Cutler is averaging a very solid 20.05 fantasy points per game. He should do fine this week against the Vikings pass defense. The Vikings have a middling pass defense that is ranked 18th according to football outsiders. That is just one spot off from Oakland that Cutler scored 18 fantasy points against in Week 4. Cutler and the Bears are also coming off a bye and have had two weeks to rest and prepare for the Vikings. And Cutler finally has his full arsenal of weapons with Alshon Jeffrey, Eddie Royal, Matt Forte and Martellus Bennett all healthy. Take advantage of Cutler being over $1,500 cheaper than the other elite QB options. He is the play if you want a cheap QB option and is great as a high upside GPP play.

Running back:

Todd Gurley, St, Louis Rams ($6,300): Wash, rinse, repeat. Everyone and their mothers are going to continue to have Gurley in their lineups as he is the 7th most expensive running back this week despite averaging over 24 touches a game his last three games. Gurley is the lead back for the Rams and is going to be fed against the 49ers rush defense. The 49ers are in the bottom half of the league giving up 113.3 rushing yards per game (20th) and 4.0 yards per rush attempt (17th). Fire up Gurley and watch his ownership percentage be easily over 50%.

Justin Forsett, Baltimore Ravens ($6,100): Forsett has shown why he was a top 10 fantasy running back last year with 4 consecutive games with at least 13 fantasy points. Over the last 4 games, Forsett has rebounded from his slow start with 22.75 touches and 116 total yards a game. Forsett should continue his upward swing against the poor Chargers rush defense. The Chargers are allowing 132.1 rushing yards per game (31st) and 5.3 yards per rush (32nd). This is the week to buy up Forsett before his price goes up.

Dexter McCluster, Tennessee Titans ($3,400): Alright, this one is a little more out there, but hear me out. Everyone is talking up Antonio Andrews in the Titans backfield, but McCluster continues to see more snaps. McCluster has played more offensive snaps than Antonio Andrews every single week of the season. In addition, since Week 2, McCluster has been on the field for at least 41% of the Titans offensive snaps every week, including 72% last week. We also have to remember, DraftKings is point per reception scoring and catching passes is what McCluster does best. In this scoring format McCluster has put up more than 12 points in 3 of his last 5 games. McCluster also gets a great matchup this week against the Houston defense that is dead last in DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) against passes to running backs allowing over 49 yards per game. Fire up McCluster at his cheap price. 

Keenan Allen
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Wide Receiver:

Keenan Allen, San Diego Chargers ($7,700): Let’s fire up Allen with Rivers this week. Allen has had an exceptional season with a league leading 62 receptions, to go along with 98.6 yards per game and 3 touchdowns. Allen also is 3rd in the league with 87 targets or 12.43 per game. Allen had another nice game last week hauling in 9 catches for 89 yards on 13 targets. Allen has been fantastic this season with 22.4 fantasy points per game (5th highest of wide receivers). Yet he is still the 8th highest priced wide receiver. As I mentioned in Philip Rivers section, the Chargers get a nice matchup this week against the poor Baltimore secondary. Baltimore’s pass defense is in the bottom half in the league allowing 65.7% completion percentage (22nd), 283 passing yards per game (28th), and 8.4 yards per attempt (30th). Rivers and Allen make for a great cost effective stack.

Michael Crabtree, Oakland Raiders ($4,700): Crabtree has been phenomenal this season and is still only $4,700. At such a cheap price, Crabtree is a great play this week. Crabtree is leading the Raiders in targets (59) and receptions (34). His 9.33 targets per game is tied for 17th out of all pass catchers in the league and he has at least 4 receptions and 37 yards each week, meaning an absolute minimum of 7.7 fantasy points. The Raiders do not have a good matchup this week against the tough Jets secondary, but I expect Revis Island to follow Amari Cooper all day leading to more opportunities for Crabtree. Crabtree is a great play this week and allows you to fit more expensive players onto your team.

Tight End:

Ladarius Green, San Diego Chargers ($3,000): It looks more and more like Antonio Gates will not play this week against the Ravens meaning more opportunities for Green. Green has been one of the most consistent tight ends in games he has played with at least 9.7 fantasy points every week. In addition, in the 4 games he has played without Gates, Green is averaging 4.5 receptions for 54.75 yards and .75 touchdowns on 7 targets per game or 14.48 fantasy points per game. Green also gets a nice matchup against the Ravens defense that is giving up 283 passing yards per game (28th). Green makes for a nice tight end play, as well as a cheaper flex option.

REMINDER: Check all lineups before the games start to ensure your players are in their team’s lineup.

*All prices from DraftKings.com

*All Football stats from ESPN.com, Pro-Football-Reference.com, NFLsavant.com, or FootballOutsiders.com

Kevin Thomas

Kevin is a recent UCLA graduate and is currently in the process of achieving his Masters in Sports Management from Long Beach State. He is a stat geek who thrives on taking advantage of the numbers in all aspects of sports and life. You can follow him on Twitter at @KevTom21 or reach him through email (kevinthomas004@yahoo.com) for questions or feedback. 

 

 

 

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