DraftKings NFL Values: Week 7

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Source: http://mymindonsports.com/
Carson Palmer
Source: http://mymindonsports.com

Below I will highlight a few guys that I perceive will provide value for their price on DraftKings for Week 7 in the NFL.

Quarterback:

Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals ($6,600): Carson Palmer is again underpriced this week as the 7th highest priced QB despite having the 4th best fantasy points per game with 22.2 points. He has a great matchup this week at home against the Ravens. Baltimore’s pass defense is in the bottom half in the league allowing 65.3% completion percentage (21st), 286 passing yards per game (27th), and 8.2 yards per attempt (29th). Palmer has been an exceptional 50/50 play each week with a minimum of 18.34 fantasy points per week. Start Palmer with confidence.

Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers ($6,500): Another good option at Quarterback this week is Philip Rivers. In his last 3 games, Rivers is averaging 28.31 fantasy points per game. The Chargers have struggled running the football and have allowed Rivers to lead the league in passing yards a game at 353 yards. Rivers should put up his regular numbers at home against a Raiders team that is average against the pass and excels against the run. Take advantage of Rivers being the 9th most expensive quarterback this week.

Running back:

Todd Gurley, St, Louis Rams ($5,000): Everyone and their mothers are going to have Gurley in their lineups this week so you should too. Gurley is somehow the 12th most expensive running back this week after averaging over 25 touches a game his last two games. Gurley is the lead back for the Rams and is going to be fed against the poor Cleveland rush defense. The Browns have given up the most rushing yards a game this season of any team in the NFL at 149.8 yards per game and the second worst yards per rush attempt with 5.0 yards per carry. Fire up Gurley and watch his ownership percentage be easily over 50%.

Lamar Miller, Miami Dolphins ($4,600): Miller finally got the amount of touches we had been expecting all season with 21 touches for 118 yards and a touchdown last week. It appears that the Dolphins coaching change has helped Miller’s value and rejuvenated the Dolphins running game. Miller should continue his upward swing against the average Texans rush defense. The Texans are exactly middle of the pack allowing 109 rushing yards per game, but have allowed 6 rushing touchdowns already, good for 5th most in the league. Take advantage of Miller’s low price tag, before it goes up in the coming weeks.

Larry Fitzgerald & Michael Floyd
Source: http://images.sportsworldreport.com

Wide Receiver:

Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals ($7,000): Let’s fire up Fitzgerald with Palmer again this week. Fitz had another nice game last week hauling in 8 catches for 93 yards on 10 targets. Fitzgerald has been fantastic this season with a per game average of 7 receptions, 97 yards and a touchdown or 23.7 fantasy points per game (4th highest of wide receivers). Yet he is still the 9th highest priced wide receiver. As I mentioned in Carson Palmer’s section, the Cardinals get a nice matchup this week against the poor Baltimore secondary. Baltimore’s pass defense is in the bottom half in the league allowing 65.3% completion percentage (21st), 286 passing yards per game (27th), and 8.2 yards per attempt (29th). Palmer and Fitzgerald make for a great cost effective stack. Feel free to add John Brown into the mix as well at $5,500.

Michael Floyd, Arizona Cardinals ($3,200): Continuing with the Cardinals passing game stack this week I love Michael Floyd. He is so cheap! At near the minimum price tag, Floyd is a great play this week. Floyd is becoming more and more relevant in the Cardinals passing attack. Over the last 3 games, Floyd is averaging 3.67 receptions and 41.33 receiving yards. But most importantly Floyd has 18 targets over the last 3 games or 6 per game. For reference, 6 targets a game is the same as Kendall Wright and Eric Decker and they both cost over $2,000 more than Floyd. Floyd is a great play this week and allows you to fit more expensive players like Julio Jones and Devonta Freeman on your team.

Tight End:

Jordan Cameron, Miami Dolphins ($3,300): Cameron has had a poor start to the season, but had a very solid game last week totaling 3 catches for 30 yards and a touchdown on 8 targets. My logic for Cameron is the same as last week. The volume is there, he just needs more precise passes from Tannehill. Cameron again had the team lead in targets last week and is averaging over 8 targets per game this season. In addition he also has 9 red zone targets this season, which is third most of all tight ends. Cameron also has a solid matchup against the Texans who have given up the 11th most fantasy points to tight ends this season. Cameron makes for a nice tight end play, as well as a cheaper flex option.

REMINDER: Check all lineups before the games start to ensure your players are in their team’s lineup.

*All prices from DraftKings.com

*All Football stats from ESPN.com, Pro-Football-Reference.com, NFLsavant.com, or FootballOutsiders.com

Kevin Thomas

Kevin is a recent UCLA graduate and is currently in the process of achieving his Masters in Sports Management from Long Beach State. He is a stat geek who thrives on taking advantage of the numbers in all aspects of sports and life. You can follow him on Twitter at @KevTom21 or reach him through email (kevinthomas004@yahoo.com) for questions or feedback. 

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