Fantasy

DraftKings NFL Values: Week 4

Aaron Rodgers & Randall Cobb

Source: http://www4.pictures.zimbio.com

Below I will highlight a few guys that I perceive will provide value for their price on DraftKings for Week 4 in the NFL.

Quarterback:

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers ($7,900): If you want to spend up on QB this week, Rodgers is the play against the 49ers. The 49ers have been terrible against the pass the last two weeks allowing 680 passing yards and 5 touchdowns. This week, they get to face the best QB on the planet. He is the play if you are paying up for QB and great for 50/50 or cash games.

Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills ($5,800): Taylor is the 15th highest priced Quarterback despite averaging 23.1 DK points per week (6th best). He has a great matchup this week at home against the Giants, who have given up a league worst 336 passing yards a game. Taylor also has the ability to run with 40+ rushing yards in 2 of his first 3 starts. Taylor makes for a great play in both 50/50 cash games, as well as GPPs.

Latavius Murray

Source: http://img.bleacherreport.net

Running back:

Latavius Murray, Oakland Raiders ($6,300): Murray has been very consistent this season with at least 18 touches and 80 total yards in each game. He gets the weak Chicago defense that has allowed 136 rushing yards a game and 4.7 yards per carry. The Raiders are favored in this game, so should have the lead and lean on Murray heavily. Start Murray at his reasonable $6,300 price tag.

Joseph Randle, Dallas Cowboys ($5,500): Randle has shown steady production so far this season with at least 14 carries and 51 rushing yards each game. The Cowboys leaned more on the run last week with loss of Tony Romo, and should continue that against the poor Saints run defense that has allowed 126 rushing yards a game against the mediocre running games of the Cardinals, Buccaneers and Panthers. Randle should be very effective behind the Dallas offensive line and brings nice value at $5,500. 

Melvin Gordon, San Diego Chargers ($4,900): Gordon has dipped below $5,000 and has received at least 14 carries in each game. Gordon and the Chargers are facing the Browns who have given up the most rushing yards a game this season of any team in the NFL at 158 yards per game and 4.9 yards per carry. Although the Chargers offensive line is banged up, they should be able to handle the weak Browns front seven.

Karlos Williams, Buffalo Bills ($3,700): It looks like LeSean McCoy will be out this week, leaving Williams as the lead back for the Bills. Williams has been fantastic in limited work this year and is the only player in football to score a rushing touchdown every week this year. His current 7.8 yards per carry will definitely go down with more touches, but Williams is nearly a must play at his low price this week.

Wide Receiver:

Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers ($7,400): Rodgers and Cobb is a great stack every week and has a ton of potential against the poor 49ers defense. As I mentioned in the Aaron Rodgers sections, they have allowed 680 passing yards and 5 touchdowns the last 2 weeks. Stack Rodgers and Cobb.

Stevie Johnson, San Diego Chargers ($4,400): I am going to continue to recommend Johnson despite his poor week against the Vikings. Here is the case for playing Johnson this week: Antonio Gates is still suspended for one more game and back up tight end Ladarius Green is likely still out with a concussion. Johnson has received 16% of Rivers targets this season and that will bump up with the loss of Green and his 11% of the targets up for grabs. His worst game of the season last week still gave back a decent 7.6 DK points. Johnson gets to face the Browns who is allowing 8.1 yards per pass attempt (7th worst in the league). You could do a lot worse for $4,400.

Ty Montgomery, Green Bay Packers ($3,000): After the injury of Davante Adams, Montgomery played 66 of the teams 76 plays last week. It appears Adams, will miss the game vs San Francisco, making Montgomery a DFS upside play at his low price. Montgomery has scored at least 7.7 DK points the last two weeks and should get more looks with more reps in practice and facing the 49ers who have allowed a league worst 10 yards per pass attempt.

Martellus Bennett

Source: http://cdn.fansided.com

Tight End:

Martellus Bennett, Chicago Bears ($4,500): It is hard to trust a receiver catching passes from Jimmy Clausen, but Bennett has a great matchup against the Raiders. The Raiders have given up at least one touchdown each week to opposing tight ends and 5 total touchdowns through three weeks. The Raiders have allowed 20 receptions, 297 yards and 5 TDs to Tyler Eifert, Crocket Gilmore and Gary Barnidge. Those guys are not exactly house hold names. Bennett is more talented than all of those players. Start Bennett with confidence.

Richard Rodgers, Green Bay Packer ($2,500): I will continue to write up Rodgers here until his price goes up. He continues to be a phenomenal GPP upside play at his minimum price. He has at least 2 catches each week and caught a touchdown pass, as well as a two-point conversion against the Seattle defense. Rodgers continues to play more snaps each week jumping from 62% to 65%, and then 70% last week. Play him while he is still so cheap.

REMINDER: Check all lineups before the games start to ensure your players are in their team’s lineup.

*All prices from DraftKings.com

*All Football stats from ESPN.com, Pro-Football-Reference.com, NFLsavant.com, or FootballOutsiders.com

Kevin Thomas

Kevin is a recent UCLA graduate and is currently in the process of achieving his Masters in Sports Management from Long Beach State. He is a stat geek who thrives on taking advantage of the numbers in all aspects of sports and life. You can follow him on Twitter at @KevTom21 or reach him through email (kevinthomas004@yahoo.com) for questions or feedback. 

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