This is a particularly weak pitching slate today in DFS with only five night games. So we will run through a couple of my value buys then discuss the upcoming DFS schedule for Football season.
Francisco Liriano, Pittsburgh Pirates ($11,300): Liriano has been very solid this year with a nice 3.28 ERA (27th in MLB), and 1.16 WHIP (25th). In addition, Liriano has by far the most consistent strikeout rate of anyone pitcher today with a 9.61 K/9 (10th in MLB). With strikeouts worth 2 points a piece in DFS, Liriano can not be ignored today. He also gets a nice matchup against the Brewers who have the second worst weighted on base average vs LHP with a .286 wOBA and an average strikeout rate of 21.2%. The Brewers struggles against LHP along with Liriano’s strikeout potential and consistent peripherals make him worth his price in a weak-pitching slate.
Taylor Jungmann, Milwaukee Brewers ($10,200): With no other good pitcher today, Jungmann brings the most potential into his matchup. Jungmann has been phenomenal in his 15 starts this year for the Brewers. He has a 2.48 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.24 K/9. His 2.99 FIP and 46.9% groundball rate show that his phenomenal start is not a slight of hand but rather a consistent force to be reckoned with. Jungmann gets the mediocre Pirates offense. The Pirates have been an average offense this season with a .312 wOBA and 20.9% strikeout rate. If you combine Liriano and Jungmann for your two pitching spots, you will have a manageable $3,562 per player to spread throughout your offense.
2B Chase Utley, Los Angeles Dodgers ($2,900): Utley is still way to cheap for his value. He continues to bat in the two-hole for the Dodgers and gets the pedestrian Padres RHP Colin Rea and his 5.95 ERA. Utley has continued to crush the ball in the second half with a .324/.372/.549 slash line and dominant 46% hard contact rate, 9th in baseball during that time span.
2B/SS Kelby Tomlinson, San Francisco Giants ($3,300): Tomlinson is a cheap middle field infield option and gets to hit in Coors Field with a platoon advantage against Rockies LHP Chris Rusin. Tomlinson has been good in his 25 at bats against LHP with a .320/.346/.520 slash line. He has also done well since his call up in August with a .377 OBP with a 30.8% line drive rate. Tomlinson brings a ton of value as a cheap play in Coors Field.
OF Jayson Werth, Washington Nationals ($3,600): As I have mentioned before in this space, Werth has been great since being inserted into the lead off spot. He is now at a .333/.410/.648 slash line in 13 games the lead off role. He also gets a great matchup against Atlanta RHP Matt Wisler and his 6.70 second half ERA.
DFS Football Schedule
Similar to the baseball DFS I post on NoCoastBias, I will begin posting football values this season. I will start posting DFS Football values for the NFL starting Week 1 of the NFL season and it will come out on Thursday or Friday of each week. I will also start writing DFS values for college football as soon as the baseball regular season ends and they will be posted on Thursday or Friday of each week as well. Below are a couple bullet points for guys I like this Saturday in College Football.
- WR Thomas Duarte, UCLA ($3,600): Duarte has been a target monster whenever he was healthy last year and now will play a key role as the security blanket for True Freshman QB Josh Rosen. Duarte averaged 2.8 receptions, 54 yards and almost half a touchdown a game in the games he was healthy last season.
- QB Christian Hackenberg, Penn State ($5,600): Hackenberg had an awful sophomore campaign, but is considered to be a 1st round talent. Simply, he is too cheap. In his freshman season he averaged 246 passing yards per game with 20 touchdowns. Penn State has a 25.5 point over/under vs Temple which should give Hackenberg a few touchdowns. As the 23rd most expensive QB and almost half as expensive as the top QBs, Hackenberg makes a great play.
- RB Justin Jackson, Northwestern ($5,000): Jackson is the starting running back for Northwestern after a 1,000 yard season a year ago. His price tag is cheap for a starting running back against the overrated Stanford defense. Stanford has had an elite defense for a few years now, but only have three returning starters this year. I like Jackson at his price tag.
REMINDER: Check all lineups before the games start to ensure your players are in their team’s lineup.
*All prices from DraftKings.com
*All Baseball stats from FanGraphs.com
Kevin is a recent UCLA graduate and is currently in the process of achieving his Masters in Sports Management from Long Beach State. He is a stat geek who thrives on taking advantage of the numbers in all aspects of sports and life. You can follow him on Twitter at @KevTom21 or reach him through email (firstname.lastname@example.org) for questions or feedback.