Fantasy

Daily Fantasy Tip Offs 3/18

Reggie. Jackson. 20/20 games by point guards are true works of art, and Reggie was phenomenal last night on every possession. Blake Griffin had his second game back on the court after a staph infection in his elbow put a bump in the road of his season. He put up a double-double in 36 minutes and led the Clippers to a victory over the Hornets. All 5 games were relatively close last night, and the Knicks actually got a win! And against the Spurs no less! Hopefully we can parlay that action into tonight’s 11 game slate.

5 Things From Last Night

  1. As mentioned, Blake Griffin is back and can instantly be considered in your daily fantasy lineup. He is clearly fully healthy.
  2. Omer Asik has 3 straight double-doubles and has reached at least 5.5x value in 4 of his last 5.
  3. Tony Parker continued his resurgence against the Knicks with a 36 point effort.
  4. Alexey Shved is clearly the man in New York, scoring at least 29.3 FD poitns in 5 straight games.
  5. Reggie Jackson flashed the upside he has in Stan Van Gundy’s offense, scoring 23 points and recording 20 assists.

Point Guard

PLAY – Goran Dragic vs POR $6.8k

The Dragon has gotten healthier over his last 3 games, and it has shown in his fantasy production. After a 41.5 FD point effort against Kyrie Irving and the Cavs, it is clear that Dragic thrives when facing the best. Portland’s Damian Lillard is not only one of the league’s best young point guards, he is also one of the best matchups. The Blazers are allowing the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing point guards over the last 3 weeks.

PLAY – George Hill at CHI $6.6k

I just love George Hill. A point+ per minute dynamo earlier in the year, he is one of the safest point guard plays out there and still possesses considerable upside for his mid-range price tag. Tonight he faces a Bulls team that has given up by far the most fantasy points to point guards over the last 3 weeks. No Rose, no Butler, no problem for Hill.

Also Consider: S. Curry vs ATL $10.1k, K. Lowry vs MIN $8.5k

FADE – Reggie Jackson at PHI $6.2k

I know I just talked about the upside that Jackson has in the Detroit offense, and the matchup is strong against the Sixers, but I like to make a practice of fading popular plays that I think can be outscored by players in their price range. Reggie could definitely have another strong game, but I’ll take guys like Dragic and Hill over him at a lower ownership percentage tonight. It’s also important to note that Jackson’s huge outing came with Greg Monroe out of the lineup, and he is expected to play tonight. This means less touches for the former Thunder guard and he should go back to being fairly priced at $6.2k.

Shooting Guard

PLAY – Dwayne Wade vs POR $8.2k

More Wade I say! Dwayne has been super consistent, averaging 40 fantasy points a game over his previous 8. Portland is not quite as bad against shooting guards as they are against point guards, but they are still bottom 10 over the past 3 weeks. On a night where I think you can afford to spread out your spending across the board, Wade is a nice centerpiece.

PLAY – DeMar DeRozan vs MIN $7.3k

DDR is basically a Wade-lite play at the 2. He is averaging 36 FD points per game over his last 8 games, and faces a soft Timberwolves defense tonight. Pairing DeRozan with Wade will give you a solid scoring foundation for your fantasy lineup tonight.

Also Consider: J. Smith vs BRK $5.6k, M. Belinelli at MIL $3.5k

FADE – J.J. Redick at SAC $6.4k

Redick led the Clippers in scoring last night…and still failed to hit 5x value. At his current price tag, there is just very little upside with J.J., especially with Blake Griffin back in the fold for L.A. There are plenty of solid shooting guard options tonight, stay away from Redick.

Small Forward

PLAY – Justin Holiday vs ATL $3.8k

It is reported that Holiday may start in place of Klay Thompson tonight. If that happens, Holiday becomes a no-brainer value play in what should be a high scoring game with Atlanta. He may not quite reach 30 minutes, but I think he can hit 5x value in just 20.

PLAY – Omri Casspi vs LAC $3.7k

This play is definitely not for the faint of heart, but I’m going to roll out Omri for the second straight time should Rudy Gay sit out again. Casspi has shown the ability to do very little with big minutes, but he is also capable of some big games due to his ability to rebound. I don’t expect to see Matt Barnes tonight for the Clippers, which makes me feel a lot better about playing the veteran forward.

Also Consider: D. Green vs ATL $7.8k, C. Parsons vs ORL $6.4k

FADE – LeBron James vs BRK $11.2k

There is a lot of value on the board tonight, and that will have people thinking about the King for their lineups. However, LeBron has not been posting as many monster fantasy outings this year with the Cavs as he has in the past. I would look to play other stars over James tonight.

Power Forward

PLAY – Nerlens Noel vs DET $7.5k

No team has given up more fantasy points over the last 3 weeks to power forwards than the Detroit Pistons. They are also 4th worst against centers in that same time frame. The bottom line is that Noel should have plenty of opportunities to score fantasy points tonight, whether its through scoring or his awesome ability to stack peripheral statistics. His lowest point output in 10 games was 29.4, and he is averaging over 36 points in that span. Play Nerley with confidence tonight.

PLAY – Brandon Bass at OKC $5.6k

The Thunder have been abysmal against power forwards, giving up the second most fantasy points to the position. That is sure to get even worse with Serge Ibaka out for an extended period of time. Bass has been getting consistent minutes, and should be able to put up a solid fantasy outing tonight with Isaiah Thomas’ scoring out of the picture.

Also Consider: Ersan Ilyasova vs SA $4.7k

FADE – Blake Griffin at SAC $9.3k

Color me cautious, but I think the Clippers are going to take it easy with Blake tonight considering that it is his first back to back after returning from injury. L.A. could also win this game quite handily against the hopeless Kings. There is plenty of money to go around tonight, but you should not be looking to spend it on Griffin.

Center

PLAY – Nikola Vucevic at DAL $8.4k

Vuc is coming off of a down game in which he had trouble finding the cup (5-17), but should get plenty of opportunities tonight in a plus matchup with Dallas. Furthermore, Tobias Harris may sit this game out after rolling his ankle last night, which would give him even more shot attempts. If you don’t like the mid-priced options at center tonight, I’d roll with Vucci Mane.

PLAY – Enes Kanter vs BOS $6.5k

Kanter has been terrific of late, averaging almost 40 fantasy points in his last 3 games. With Serge Ibaka out, he should take on the role of secondary scorer behind Russell Westbrook and has a great matchup tonight with Boston. The Celtics are bottom 10 on the season against centers. Enes is one of my favorite plays on the board tonight.

Also Consider: J. Hamilton at TOR $5.6k

FADE – Brook Lopez at CLE $6.9k

I wish Lopez would just get 35 minutes a night to boss up teams that struggle to guard the interior like Cleveland does. Unfortunately, he is only playing a shade over 26 minutes per game over his last 10 outings. Because of the unreliable minutes, I will be staying away from Brook until further notice.

Good luck to everyone tonight!

 

 

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