Fantasy

The Anatomy of a Projection: Tennessee Titans

Pass/Run Splits Last 8 Seasons under Ken Whisenhunt:

2013(SD): 544/486
2012(AZ): 608/352
2011(AZ): 550/389
2010(AZ): 561/320
2009(AZ): 594/365
2008(AZ): 630/340
2007(AZ): 590/402
2006(PT): 523/469
Total: 4600/3123 (59.6%/40.4%)

Projecting a 570/447 split for 2014 with TEN

QB YD/TD/INT under Wiz:

2013: 4478/32/11
2012: 3383/11/21
2011: 3954/21/23
2010: 3264/10/19
2009: 4200/27/18
2008: 4875/31/15
2007: 4228/32/24
2006: 4026/23/23
Total: 32408/187/154
Average (per attempt): 7.05/.0407/.0335

Locker: 75 rushes (16.8%)
Miscellaneous: 20 rushes (4.5%)
Sankey: 208 rushes (46.5%)
Greene: 88 rushes (19.7%)
McCluster: 56 rushes (12.5%)

RB Targets Under Wiz:

2013: 130
2012: 69
2011: 61
2010: 73
2009: 120
2008: 114
2007: 103
2006: 99
Total: 769 (16.7%), Projecting 112 RB Targets for 2014

Target Distribution and Yardage:

Wright (22%) = 570* .22 = 125 targets* .65 = 81 rec* 11.5ypr = 932 yds
Hunter (18%) = 570* .18 = 103 targets* .55 = 57 rec* 16.0ypr = 912 yds
Washington (15%) = 570* .15 = 86 targets* .56 = 48 rec* 13.0ypr = 624 yds
Walker (15%) = 570* .15 = 86 targets* .65 = 56 rec* 11.5ypr = 644 yds
Sankey (8.4%) = 570* .084 =48 targets* .8 = 38 rec* 7.5ypr = 285 yds
McCluster (8.4%) = 570* .084 = 48 targets* .85 = 41 rec* 8ypr = 328 yds
Greene (2.8%) = 570* .028 = 16 targets* .66 = 11 rec* 7.3ypr = 80 yds

Final Projections

Jake Locker: 570 att, 359 comp, 7.3 YPA, 4161 yds, 25TD, 19INT, 75 rush, 518 yds, 3TD, 5 fum = 288.24 Points

Bishop Sankey: 208 rush, 4.5 YPC, 936 yds, 3TD, 38 rec, 285 yds, 1TD, 1 fum = 183.10 Points

Dexter McCluster: 56 rush, 4.2 YPC, 235 yds, 1TD, 41 rec, 328 yds, 2TD = 115.32 Points

Shonn Greene: 88 rush, 4.0 YPC, 352 yds, 5TD, 11 rec, 80 yds, 1 fum = 83.23 Points

Kendall Wright: 125 tar, 81 rec, 11.5 YPR, 932 yds, 3TD = 192.15 Points

Justin Hunter: 103 tar, 57 rec, 16.0 YPR, 912 yds, 7TD = 190.2 Points

Nate Washington: 86 tar, 48 rec, 13.0 YPR, 624 yds, 5TD = 140.4 Points

Delanie Walker: 86 tar, 56 rec, 11.5 YPR, 644 yds, 5TD = 150.4 Points

Links to Previous Teams

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New England Patriots

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Cincinnati Bengals

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Pittsburgh Steelers

Houston Texans

Indianapolis Colts

Jacksonville Jaguars

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