Fantasy

The Anatomy of a Projection: Pittsburgh Steelers

Pass/Run ratio in final 9 games last season (more no huddle was use and is expected again this season):

48/20
30/33
45/27
34/34
44/18
39/21
25/36
29/29
31/29
Total: 325/247
Over 16 Games: 578/439

Big Ben yards over those games: 2331
Big Ben Yards/Attempt: 7.19
Big Ben TD: 20
Big Ben INT: 7
Big Ben rush attempts: 17

Bell rushing attempts: 180 (72.87%)
Bell rushing yards: 652 (3.62 YPC)
Bell receptions: 32
Bell receiving yards: 317 (9.91 YPR)

Brown targets: 92 (28.31%)
Brown receptions: 54 (58.7%)
Brown receiving yards: 869 (16.1 YPR)

Sanders targets: 55 (16.92%)
Sanders receptions: 36 (65.45%)
Sanders receiving yards: 344 (9.56 YPR)

Miller targets: 49 (15.08%)
Miller receptions: 38 (77.55%)
Miller receiving yards: 368 (9.68 YPR)

Cotchery targets: 41 (12.62%)
Cotchery receptions: 24 (58.54%)
Cotchery receiving yards: 274 (11.42 YPR)

Projecting 578/439 split for 2014

Roethlisberger: 30 rushes (6.8%)
Miscellaneous: 32 rushes (7.3%)
Bell: 277 rushes (63.1%)
Blount: 100 rushes (22.8%)

Target Distribution and Yards:

Brown (28%) = 578* .28 = 162 targets* .63 = 102 Rec* 13.6ypr = 1387 yards
Miller (16%) = 578* .16 = 92 targets* .775 = 71 Rec* 11.5ypr = 817 yards
Wheaton (16%) = 578* .16 = 92 targets* .55 = 51 Rec* 16.0ypr = 816 yards
Bell (13.8%) = 578* .13 = 80 targets* .7 = 56 Rec* 9ypr = 504 yards
Moore (12.5%) = 578* .125 = 72 targets* .66 = 48 Rec* 12.0ypr = 576 yards
Blount (1%) = 578* .1 = 6 targets* .6 = 4 Rec* 8.5ypr = 34 yards

Final Projections

Ben Roethlisberger: 587 att, 376 comp, 7.2 YPA, 4226 yds, 31TD, 13 INT, 30 rush, 99 yds, 1TD, 6 fum = 270.96 Points

Le’Veon Bell: 277 rush, 4.0 YPC, 1108 yds, 6TD, 56 rec, 504 yds, 1TD, 1 fum = 258.2 Points

LeGarrette Blount: 100 rush, 4.4 YPC, 440 yds, 3TD, 4 rec, 34 yds, 1 fum = 68.4 Points

Antonio Brown: 162 tar, 102 rec, 13.6 YPR, 1387 yds, 6TD, 7 rush, 23 yds, 279.03 Points

Markus Wheaton: 92 tar, 51 rec, 16.0 YPR, 816 yds, 4TD = 156.6 Points

Lance Moore: 72 tar, 48 rec, 12.0 YPR, 576 yds, 5TD = 135.6 Points

Heath Miller: 92 tar, 71 rec, 11.5 YPR, 817 yds, 10TD = 212.65

Links to Previous Teams

Buffalo Bills

Miami Dolphins

New England Patriots

New York Jets

Baltimore Ravens

Cincinnati Bengals

Cleveland Browns

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