The Anatomy of a Projection: Philadelphia Eagles

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Source: www.eagledelphia.com

Nick Foles in 9 games started and finished:

Attempts: 258
Completions: 173 (67%)
Yards: 2565 (9.94 YPA)
TD: 24 (9.3%)
INT: 2 (.775%)
Rush: 51 (17.5%)
Yards: 195 (3.8 YPC)
TD: 3

Total Team rushes: 33, 25, 37, 33, 34, 46, 13, 36, 34 = 291

Prorated run/pass ratio: 517/459 (53%/47%)

Faster Tempo Expected This Season: Projecting 543/481 Split for 2014

Foles: 84 rushes (17.5%)
Miscellaneous: 5 rushes (1%)
McCoy: 288 rushes (59.9%)
Sproles: 64 rushes (13.3%)
Polk: 40 rushes (8.3%)

RB Targets in 9 Games: 41 (15.89%), Projecting 86 RB Targets in 2014

Cooper In 9 Games:

Targets: 58 (22.5%)
Receptions: 33 (56.9%)
Yards: 654 (19.8 YPR)
TD: 7 (29.2%)

TE’s in 9 Games:

Targets: 66 (25.58%)
Receptions: 45 (68.2%)
Yards: 587 (13.0 YPR)
TD: 8 (33.3%)

DJax in 9 Games:

Targets: 57 (22.1%)
Receptions: 43 (75.4%)
Yards: 723 (16.8 YPR)
TD: 6 (25%)

Avant in 9 Games:

Targets: 30 (11.63%)
Receptions: 17 (56.7%)
Yards: 182 (10.7 YPR)
TD: 1 (4.2%)

Target Distribution and Yardage:

Cooper (20%) = 543* .2 = 109 targets* .57 = 62 rec* 15.0ypr = 930 yds
Maclin (18.8%) = 543* .188 = 102 targets* .62 = 63 rec* 14.5ypr = 914 yds
Matthews (11.63%) = 543* .1163 = 63 targets* .6 = 38 rec* 12.0ypr = 456 yds
Ertz (14%) = 543* .14 = 76 targets* .64 = 49 rec* 13.0ypr = 637 yds
Celek(10.3%) = 543* .103 = 56 targets* .68 = 38 rec* 14.0ypr = 532 yds
Sproles (11.8%) = 543* .118 = 64 targets* .75 = 48 rec* 9.7ypr = 466 yds
McCoy (7.4%) = 543* .074 = 40 targets* .75 = 30 rec* 9.4ypr = 282 yds
Polk (2.2%) = 543* .022 = 12 targets* .75 = 9 rec* 10.0ypr = 90 yds

Final Projections

Nick Foles: 543 att, 353 comp, 8.3 YPA, 4507 yds, 33TD, 9INT, 84 rush, 319 yds, 3TD, 5 fum = 334.18 Points

LeSean McCoy: 288 rush, 5.2 YPC, 1498 yds, 11TD, 30 rec, 282 yds, 1TD, 1 fum = 278.96 Points

Darren Sproles: 64 rush, 4.4 YPC, 282 yds, 2TD, 48 rec, 466 yds, 2TD = 146.72 Points

Chris Polk: 40 rush, 4.8 YPC, 192 yds, 2TD, 9 rec, 90 yds = 49.2 Points

Riley Cooper: 109 tar, 62 rec, 15.0 YPR, 930 yds, 10TD = 215.0 Points

Jeremy Maclin: 102 tar, 63 rec, 14.5 YPR, 914 yds, 6TD = 190.35 Points

Jordan Matthews: 63 tar, 38 rec, 12.0 YPR, 456 yds, 2TD = 95.6 Points

Zach Ertz: 76 tar, 49 rec, 13.0 YPR, 637 yds, 6TD = 148.7 Points

Brent Celek: 56 tar, 38 rec, 14.0 YPR, 532 yds, 4TD = 115.2 Points

Links to Previous Teams

Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
New York Jets
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
Oakland Raiders

San Diego Chargers
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants

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Anthony is the Lead Fantasy Football Writer for No Coast Bias and a founder of JAMSportz.wordpress.com. When he isn't writing about and playing fantasy football, he is a high school math teacher and football coach. Follow Anthony on twitter @amicsta (link below) for all his latest thoughts and opinions as well as updates for new articles to help you win your league.

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