College Football

Week Five College Football Picks

What a great season it’s been for matchups: three top ten vs. top ten matchups this week!

#7 Stanford at #10 Washington (-3.5)

I don’t buy Washington quite yet, but Stanford is weakened tonight with the loss of its fullback and both starting running backs. Stanford can muck things up in the trenches but I think Washington will make enough big plays in the passing game to survive the Cardinal. Washington 27, Stanford 20

#22 Texas at Oklahoma State (-2.5)

Expect the Pokes to do just fine offensively, but the many-faceted Longhorn offense can certainly gut a Cowboy defense which has been putrid thus far (123rd in Explosiveness Defense per S&P+). Texas 42, Oklahoma State 34

#11 Tennessee at #25 Georgia (+3.5)

Can’t figure out Tennessee. They look fragile through three and a half games before ripping off 35 second half points against the best defense they face. Fortunately for them, Georgia looks worse: Nick Chubb may not be available, and Jacob Eason hasn’t quite settled in yet. Tennessee 34, Georgia 20

#8 Wisconsin at #4 Michigan (-10.5)

Time for me to start giving Wisconsin proper credit: the defense has been suffocating, and the offense has taken advantage of its opportunities. But Michigan is a behemoth, and as good as the Badgers have been, losing Vince Biegel and Rafael Gaglionone before a big road challenge is not what you want. Wisconsin fights valiantly but comes up short. Michigan 20, Wisconsin 10

North Carolina at #12 Florida State (-10.5)

Tar Heel quarterback Mitch Trubinsky will have a big day against a Seminole defense that hasn’t looked anything like what we anticipated, but so too could Dalvin Cook, who finally awakened in a 267-yard gashing of South Florida’s defense. Florida State 42, North Carolina 31

Memphis at #16 Ole Miss (-14.5)

Both offenses have a propensity for big plays (Memphis running backs Doroland Dorceus and Patrick Taylor Jr. dominated against . . . Kansas and Bowling Green . . .) but they’re not ready to challenge Ole Miss, who might allow some big plays but will make plenty of their own. Ole Miss 45, Memphis 27

#3 Louisville at #5 Clemson (-3)

Here it is, folks: the nation’s best offense visits the nation’s best defense. While the Clemson offense is lacking some of 2015’s pizzazz, Deshaun Watson is going to come alive eventually, and I think tomorrow might be the night. Lamar Jackson is going to face his first legit defense at night in one of the toughest places to play in college football. He’ll do plenty but I’m not sure it’ll be enough. Clemson 35, Louisville 31

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