Week Seven College Football Picks

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Has Trevor Knight ever played Alabama before? Does anyone remember?

BYU at #14 Boise State (-7)

BYU, winners of three straight after a 1-3 start during which the Cougs saw games slip away from them by margins of one, three, and three points, are in hot form headed up to the blue turf. Boise has more or less flown under the radar until recently, content to let Houston take the spotlight while the Broncos just win. BYU and tailback Jamaal Williams will challenge the stingy Broncos defense, but I don’t think they have the firepower to pull the upset. Boise State 33, BYU 24

#10 Wisconsin (-3.5) at Iowa

I was glad the pollsters elected not to punish two-loss Wisconsin too harshly this week, given that despite the “two” in their loss column, the Badgers are clearly one of the nation’s best teams. Do they have any energy left? Iowa always gives the Badgers fits in Iowa City . . . but the Hawks’ 83rd-ranked Rushing S&P+ defense does them in against a streaking Corey Clement. Wisconsin 21, Iowa 13

Memphis at #24 Navy (+2.5)

Watch the heck out for Navy, who lost the best player in school history last season and literally pulled a guy out of the stands to play quarterback . . . and kept on clicking. Expect a lot of big plays from both sides and a fun game. Navy 45, Memphis 38

TCU at #12 West Virginia (-6)

The Mountaineers had managed to avoid attention and expectations until hammering Texas Tech last week, and got an eight-slot boost in the polls as a reward. They now host TCU, which will test a heretofore great defense. But the ‘Neers can spread out the Frogs and punch them where they’re inexplicably weak: the secondary. West Virginia 38, TCU 28

#6 Texas A&M at #1 Alabama (-19)

Nineteen points. In four seasons of picks I can’t recall a bigger spread between two top ten teams. The Aggie line will test Jalen Hurts (boy, does he ever) who would be generating Heisman hype in a less Lamar Jackson-y season. But the real battle will be Trevor Knight and the Aggie receivers against a disgustingly good Tide secondary. (Hmm, does anyone know whether Knight has any prior experience throwing against a Tide defense?) Alabama 34, Texas A&M 24

#17 Arkansas at #21 Auburn (-9.5)

After the Pink Slip Bowl against LSU, Auburn has been quietly pretty darn good. At quarterback, a consistent problem position for Gus Malzahn since the departure of Nick Marshall, sophomore Sean White has emerged as a leader and the defense is Malzahn’s best. I like Arkansas and Dan Enos’ offense a lot but the defense won’t hold up its end of the bargain. Auburn 38, Arkansas 27

#23 Ole Miss at #25 LSU (-5.5)

Poor Ole Miss: likely one of the best teams in the country plays a ludicrously front-loaded schedule. (I see you too, Wisconsin.) A night visit to a cornered LSU is not what the doctor ordered. LSU 34, Ole Miss 28

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