College Football

Week 12 College Football Picks

A few good ones this weekend. Sure, our HATE WEEK SMÖRGÅSBORD is next week but you never wanna go into Thanksgiving without a practice meal or two.

#5 Louisville at Houston (+14)

2016 hasn’t quite gone how Tom Herman envisioned, as the Cougars have suffered two (*gasps*) losses. Whatever. The Next Big Thing is as in-demand as ever and can probably add another million to his inevitable record 2017 salary by toppling Lamar Jackson and Louisville . . . but can they keep pace? The Cards have appeared fallible in recent weeks and I bet Herman has something cooked up, but . . . Louisville 34, Houston 23

Arkansas State at Troy (-8)

The 2015 Red Wolves began the year 0-4 before winning eight straight and claiming the Sun Belt title. The 2016 Red Wolves . . . began the year 0-4 and have won five straight to sit tied with Troy for first in the Sun Belt. But the Trojans are too strong defensively for the Red Wolves who have been playing with fire on offense for a few weeks. Troy 27, Arkansas State 18

#11 Oklahoma State at TCU (-4)

Oklahoma State is 8-2 but has been hanging on for dear life, as half those wins have come by a score or less. I love a team that can finish but TCU is better than 5-5. TCU 37, Oklahoma State 30

#23 Florida at #16 LSU (-13.5)

Good on these two teams for getting this game rescheduled. The timing is unfortunate, because Florida is terrible in November and LSU is awesome, having put hurts on Arkansas and Ole Miss teams which have been its bugaboo in recent years. The Tigers win another for Ceauxch O. LSU 24, Florida 10

#22 Washington State at #10 Colorado (-4.5)

The Buffaloes’ ninth-ranked S&P+ defense faces a tremendous test as Mike Leach brings the high-powered Cougar offense to town. Both teams are going to use pace and controlled passing, but I like Colorado with the edge on the ground. Colorado 38, Washington State 28

Indiana at #3 Michigan (-23.5)

Oh you poor Hoosiers, always a bridesmaid and never a bride. Has anyone played more top teams to the wire, only to come up just short and never actually win? With that in mind, however, a Michigan team without it’s starting quarterback gives me pause at that enormous spread. Michigan 28, Indiana 18

#24 Stanford at Cal (+11)

Stanford has had its offensive woes this year, but Cal’s defense is woeful enough to let Christian McCaffrey shine. Stanford 42, Cal 30

#9 Oklahoma at #14 West Virginia (+3)

Can Dana Holgorson muster up enough rageface over his team’s lack of love from the Committee to pull this upset at home? The Mountaineers can take advantage of some of the Sooners’ defensive deficiencies, but can they shut down Baker Mayfield, Joe Mixon, Samaje Perine, Dede Westbrook, et al? Just maybe. West Virginia 45, Oklahoma 42

#13 USC at UCLA (+11)

Cool to see the Battle of Los Angeles get #Pac12AfterDark status . . . but USC is trending up, and UCLA is not. USC 35, UCLA 19

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